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The use of a fuzzy sets approach to evaluate the effectiveness of an innovative project with venture financing

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UDC Code: 
Baranov A Doctor of Economic Sciences, Professor  (baranov@ieie.nsc.ru)
Muzyko E Candidate of Economic Sciences  (mei927@mail.ru)
Pavlov V Doctor of Technical Sciences  (victor_n_pavlov@mail.ru)

Results of the analysis of efficiency of the innovative project in the petrochemical industry made on the basis of a method of real options and indistinct and multiple approach are given. In the conditions of «swing» of the major exogenous parameters of the innovative project (price for products of the invested company and staple prices) with use of the device of indistinct sets values of indicators of reliability and stability of NPV, IRR, the compound option a stake and some other indicators for the venture fund investing in the project are calculated.

1. URL: https://plastinfo.ru/information/articles/581/ (data obrashcheniya: 04.07.2017).

2. Baranov A.O., Muzyko E.I., Pavlov V.N. Ispolzovanie nechetko-mnozhestvennogo instrumentariya dlya ocenki effektivnosti innovacionnyh proektov s venchurnym finansirovaniem na osnove metoda realnyh opcionov // Sibirskaya finansovaya shkola. 2015. no 4. S. 90-96.

3. Pavlov A.V., Pavlov V.N. Nechetko-sluchaynye metody issledovaniya neopredelennosti i ih makroekonomicheskie prilozheniya / nauch. red. A.G. Korzhubaev. Novosibirsk: IEOPP SO RAN, 2012. 187 s.